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Thursday, November 20, 2008

Glen Johnson's Letter to Joe Calzaghe

Dear Joe,

Congratulations on your win over Roy Jones last Saturday night. I'm happy to see that you're finally getting some overdue credit, and now that you've accomplished what you wanted to against Jones and Bernard Hopkins, I think it's time for you and I to settle some unfinished business.

I'm sure you remember, but if you don't, you previously agreed to fight me three times in the past, yet all three times you pulled out of the fight due to injury and we never had the opportunity to give the fans the fight they were all waiting to see.

Well, now is the time to make up for all of that, to finally agree to fight me. You've done a lot in your career, but for you to truly cement your legacy, you know we must fight.

I'm well aware that the name Chad Dawson has been tossed around, but I already beat him in the ring and the only people who didn't know it were the judges who rendered the most controversial decision of 2008. In fact, 80 percent of the viewers watching the fight on Showtime felt that I won. But the fans know, Dawson knows, and you know who won that fight.

So fighting Dawson serves no purpose other than giving him a big payday. To truly prove yourself as the best fighter in the world, pound for pound, fight me, the man who knocked out a prime Roy Jones and beat Antonio Tarver, two accomplishments you can't claim.

We both know that there is a lot more money for you to make if you fight me.

You know who I am Joe, and my resume speaks for itself. Let's do this, not only for our legacies, but for the fans.

I have been to England three times. I won (a) world title there. Your fans know me, all of England knows me. Nobody knows who Chad Dawson is!

Any time you want, I would love to fight you in Wales. I will be there as soon as you invite me.


"The Road Warrior" Glen Johnson

GamblersAdvisory.Com - What Boxing Fans Are Telling Us

Saturday, September 6, 2008

Football Week One

Our picks - NCAA College Football: Florida over Miami, laying the points.

NFL: New England over KC, laying the points; Detroit over Atlanta.

Thursday, September 4, 2008

Our Take: Casamayor v. Marquez

Our pick: Marquez.

Casamayor recently beat Michael Katsidis in a great fight. But . . . he seemed unable to take a body blow. He even got knocked into the first row by a body blow in the sixth round.

That gives Marquez - an excellent bodypuncher - a distinct advantage. He should be able to exploit this Casamayor weakness into a victory.

Marquez is a superb, underappreciated and underrated fighter. Keep an eye on him. He simply is one of the best pound for pound fighters in the sport. He should show why in this fight.

Saturday, August 30, 2008

Our Take: Joe Calzaghe v. Roy Jones

We're taking the underdog - Roy Jones at +275.

Calzaghe hit the canvas in his last fight, and had to get up to win a split decision that many at ringside thought he lost.

Jones - who has had chin problems of his own - has not hit the canvas since getting knocked out by Glen Johnson in 2004.

More importantly, Calzaghe doesn't have one punch knockout power. Roy Jones does. Jones flashed it in knocking down Felix "Tito" Trinidad twice in his last fight. Both fighters are almost certain to land as both have been vulnerable to getting hit in recent fights. We simply believe that Jones will have more behind the punches.

Calzaghe has benefitted from fighting fighters who are not as mobile as Jones. Jones' mobility will pose a problem for him, as will Jones' ability to fight while backing up. Some of Jones' best punches are thrown when Jones is backpedaling and countering. Calzaghe - an offensive fighter - provides many opportunities for a counterpuncher.

So - even though Jones is a big underdog in the fight - we're picking him to win. We're expecting him to do so by decision.

Thursday, August 28, 2008

Oscar De La Hoya v. Manny Pacquiao


Oscar is 5-10 1/2, has fought at middleweight and packs a big punch. He has dropped the following noteworthy fighters:

- Ike Quartey
- Fernando Vargas
- Ricardo Mayorga

He further has much faster handspeed than David Diaz, Manny's last opponent. Further, he has only been stopped once -- at 160 by Bernard Hopkins.

Manny is trying to jump two weight classes to meet Oscar at 147 to 150. He is only 5-6 1/2. He'll have to come inside to be effective. This is a recipe for disaster against a big hitter like Oscar.

We like Oscar, who is justifiably a big favorite. A good big man beats a good little man. Manny is biting off more than he can chew.

Feel free to post your comments below.

Tuesday, August 26, 2008

Betting Play: Juan Diaz v. Michael Katsidis

This fight is too close to call. But the over under of 10.5 is too high. Neither fighter has much defense. In Katsidis's last fight, there were 4 knockdowns. Katsidis has a 83.3% knockout rate -- exceptional.

We believe the play here is the under at +105. We don't see the fight going 10.5 rounds, and would not be surprised if it ends early. Very early.

Feel free to leave your thoughts for other readers below.

Sunday, August 24, 2008

Prediction: Valuev v. Ruiz

We're taking Valuev to once again beat John Ruiz. Since their last fight, Valuev has progressed, adding skills to his repertoire with quality wins over Serguei Lyakhovich, Monte Barret, Jean Bergeron.

It is true that he lost to Ruslan Chageav. But Ruslan is a better fighter than Ruiz. In fact, Chageav beat Ruiz in 2006.

With the fight being in Europe, we're expecting Valuev to win by decision. A win would set up a megafight with Vladimir Klitschko. We expect a motivated Valuev to repeat his prior win.

Sunday, August 17, 2008

Our Prediction: Mora v. Forrest

We understand that Oscar de la Hoya has contacted Sergio Mora to fight him should he beat Vernon Forrest.

We don't expect that to happen. We're taking Forrest to avenge his loss to Mora, who lacks knockout power (5 KOs).

Forrest did not appear to have trained last time, and may well cut off the ring and go for the knockout this time around against the light hitting Mora. Mora is one of our favorite fighters, but he simply does not have the power to keep a fit Forrest off of him. Forrest has already beaten boxer punchers such as Shane Mosley and should be able to work off a jab to nullify Mora's speed before working his body to take away his legs.

We like Forrest in a spirited contest.

Saturday, August 16, 2008

Our Prediction: Pavlik v. Hopkins

We're picking Hopkins over unbeaten Kelly Pavlik. Hopkins is the bigger fighter who has fought by far the better competition. He beat a much better Antonio Tarver, who is a 175 pounder with a bigger punch and more boxing skills than the 160 pount Pavlik. Pavlik was down against Taylor in their first fight, and might be overhyped. Hopkins just dropped Joe Calzaghe (a much better fighter than Pavlik), but lost the split decision. At +275, we believe Hopkins is a compelling bargain in this matchup. We're picking him to win the fight.

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