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Friday, January 3, 2020

NFL Wildcard Round Picks


NFL Wildcard Round Picks -- I like Minnesota getting 8 points against New Orleans. RB Dalvin Cook will be back. Statistically, the two teams are close. Cousins is not as bad as this line suggests. Saints are too reliant on WR Michael Thomas IMO. I like Philly getting 2.5 at home v. Seattle. Seahawks are still very injured at RB. They are a West Coast team coming East. Team is much better at home in the playoffs than they are on the road. Carson Wentz has been on fire. I like New England on a moneyline over Titans. Public narrative (e.g. Fox's Jason Whitlock) has gotten out of hand. Patriots are coming off a 12-4 year. The defense is top-notch and they are playing at home. Belichik is still the coach. Brady is still the QB. Stop Derrick Henry, and you've stopped the Titans. I like the Patriots straight up.

Sunday, December 29, 2019

Dwyer 12-29-19 NCAAF Championship Game


Dec 29 at 8:52am Dwyer 12-29-19 NCAAF Championship Game youtube.com/user/dwyer70905/community Richard Dwyer1 second ago NCAAF Championship Game, Early Line - I like Clemson +6 over LSU. Burrow is dominant, but Trevor Lawrence is too. The difference is defense and experience. Clemson's defense is better. They just held Ohio State to under 25 points. They have time to recover given the scheduling. Their players have recently been in the championship game. Dabo Swinney is proven. At this price -- getting 6 points on a team that has not lost for more than a year -- I'll take my chances. Burrow had to be -- and was -- perfect on many throws against the Sooners. Bet against that kind of perfection happening against this Clemson defense.

Saturday, December 28, 2019

NFL Week 17 Picks


From https://www.youtube.com/user/dwyer70905/community -- Richard Dwyer 4 days ago NFL Week 17 Early Picks I Like: Denver on a moneyline (@-175) over the Oakland Raiders (Drew Lock and the Bronco defense have looked good, Raiders have been inconsistent); Miami +16 v. the Patriots (Miami coach Brian Flores was a Patriot coach, Miami still playing hard, line too big); 49ers on a moneyline (@-180) over the Seahawks (Seattle is too injured at RB, Niners want revenge from earlier loss)

NFL Futures Hedge Play - Green Bay @ 10 to 1 To Win It All


Pick from Community Page of youtube.com/dwyer70905 -- Richard Dwyer 2 days ago NFL Futures hedge I like: Green Bay -- historically, very hard to beat at home in the playoffs -- at 10 to 1 to win the Super Bowl. I like this as a hedge position at this price. If Green Bay wins Week 17 @ Detroit (and they are 13 point favorites), they will get the 2 seed (ahead of New Orleans) in the NFC. That would get them a Week 1 playoff bye and their Week 2 playoff game at home -- possibly against an indoor team like the Saints. I like the idea of getting 10 to 1 this late in the season on a likely 2 seed that plays in cold weather and has a Super Bowl winning QB in Aaron Rodgers. And of course, Green Bay would have a chance to host the NFC championship game should the 1 seed lose their Week 2 playoff game.

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